Morgan Stanley is waiting for rebound on pounds

Morgan Stanley is waiting for a rebound on the pounds to sell

Pound / dollar (GBP / USD) tested the 200-day moving average at $ 1.6665, which suggests a correction to the recent sharp decline, analysts say Morgan Stanley. Nevertheless, the bank looking for strengthening of the dollar in the coming sessions, so traders Bank will use any rebound to $ 1.6750, to restore a bearish stance with a view to $ 1.6260 with a stop at $ 1.6850. GBP / USD is now trading at $ 1.6696.

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Oil prices are falling on background of new fears

Oil prices are falling on the background of new fears overabundance of raw materials on the market

Oil prices fell below $ 50 a barrel on Friday on fears that US President Donald Trump’s decision to abandon a global climate agreement could lead to more intensive extraction of crude oil in the United States, thereby maintaining a constant surplus of raw materials on the market.

Brent crude oil decreased by 1.7%, or 80 cents to $ 49.75 per barrel. Crude WTI crude oil showed a drop of 87 cents, or 1.81%, to $ 47.46 a barrel.

oil prices are reduced by about 7.5% after OPEC decided May 25 to further reduce the raw material production.

Faced with a prolonged glut market, the oil cartel also discussed last week’s decline in production of raw materials for another 1-1.5%, according to sources.

True the oil market has been offered support and according to official data showing that US oil reserves, the world’s main consumer of oil fell sharply last week, while the oil refining and exports grew to a record level.

The oil reserves have declined to 6.4 million barrels per week, topping analysts’ expectations of 2.5 million barrels.

Nevertheless, the volume of oil production in the US rose to 9.34 million barrels last week, which amounted to almost 500,000 barrels per day.

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How will financial Week

How will the financial Week?

Commodity
market, special attention should be paid to the
copper. The annual moving average of
this metal consumption in China
record grew. Rise in price of copper will
continue, especially if you remember,
China – the main consumer of copper
in the world. At the same time the world’s reserves of this
It was significantly reduced, reaching
minimum for the last 6 years.

The price of oil
restored: is a correction
rollback. Brent has not yet reached
mark of 103.45, but surely this
seeks. Markets are preparing to raise
demand for “black gold”, but so far it
not much impact on oil prices.

In the currency
market
today await the end of the symposium
in Jackson Hole, which will perform chapter
two of the largest global regulators:
Janet Yellen, and Mario Draghi. rather
likely, the Fed chief will speak quite
aggressively. USD / JPY will
continue to rise and the dollar will continue to
strengthen.

eurozone
continued fever: EUR / USD
I went down to the lows more than
year-old prescription, and speech
Yellen has every chance to leave a mark
1.32.

In Britain yesterday
published data on retail
Sales in Britain. These data are, frankly
speaking, are rather weak. No hurry for
move to tighten monetary
is not politics, today’s speech
Yellen will be the last test for
the pair GBP / USD, which is now
It is trading at about 1.66.

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Ministry of Finance will buy shares of VTB and

The Ministry of Finance will buy the shares of VTB and Rosselkhozbank 239 billion

Ministry of Finance
Russia plans to spend on VTB and
Rosselkhozbank 239 billion rubles.
The funds will be used to increase
capital of credit institutions
first level.

The Ministry of Finance will buy shares
VTB and Rosselkhozbank to 239.04 billion
rubles. For the purchase of shares directed
NWF returned after
these credit institutions execution
as well as of "Bank of Moscow" and VTB 24
obligations to repay the subordinated
credits (loans) to Vnesheconombank
RIA Novosti reported with reference to the report
department.

Previously, loans were
granted in accordance with the law
"On additional measures to support the
Russian financial system".

Shares are not involved
on the open market and are not part of
any stock indices, because
that the share issue will take place
first. Because of this, in the documents are not
subject to the requirements for the inclusion of
shares of legal entities in the quotation
a list of at least one stock exchange
and lists of securities used
for the calculation of stock index – RTS
or MICEX.

Recall the two banks –
VTB and Rosselkhozbank – fell in July
under the EU sanctions and the United States that prohibit
medium- and long-term organizations
financing in these countries.

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Daily Economic Digest from Forex ee

Daily Economic Digest from Forex.ee

Daily Digest of economic Forex.ee

Keep an eye on major economic news with us

Monday, June 5

Couple GBP/ USD It continues to consolidate in early European
Trading in the level 1.2870 area after today’s opening with a bearish gap. On
Pound remains today one of the most talked about currencies in the market, as
several important events continue to alarm investors. It seems that the British
the bulls were unable to hold on to their gains Friday, allowing the pair to move away from the area
1.2890-2900 as another terrorist attack hit the UK
Last weekend, thereby weakening the pound on the market. At the moment, the grouping
“Islamic State” has claimed responsibility for this terrorist
attack. Moreover, investors continue to be cautious in the run-up
elections in the United Kingdom, to which there are only 4 days. according to the latest
polls, the conservative position improved slightly in recent years, yet
Still they were not able to significantly increase the gap between its main opponents – Labor
Party. On the other hand, the market continues to discuss the positive data on
construction in the UK and the disappointing figures from the US labor market,
that supports the pair on Monday. Now the market’s attention remains
It focused on the index of business activity in the UK services sector in the
While the index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector of the US from the ISM
also provide investors with short-term trading opportunities in SA
trading session.

Couple EUR / USD He retreated from the highs of this
year, fixed at 1.1285 after weak data on the change in the number
engaged in non-agricultural sector of the US. On Friday, the pair met
substantial support from the bulls after a report on US employment in May reflected
performance weaker than market expectations, thus forcing the retreat of the dollar
across the board. Also, the dollar’s sharp retreat due to the fact that by
NFP release time investors
We have already priced in a positive result, since a change in the number of
US non-farm employment in the sector by ADP, presented last
Thursday, indicated the possibility of a significant increase in jobs in the market
US Department of Labor. However, despite the negative data from the US, the dollar managed to slightly
recover against its major counterparts in the Asian session, as
as the chances of the Fed’s tightening of monetary policy at the June meeting are
quite high. Looking ahead, euro area today will introduce only minor
reports at the time, the US economy will release the index of business activity in the non-manufacturing
sector of the ISM, which attract most of the attention of the market.

After opening with a
bearish gap at the beginning of this week a couple AUD / USD
It regained its upward trend, which started on Friday amid
disappointing data from the US labor market. The pair remains
near its 7-day highs, marked at the level of 0.7487 this morning after
how the Australian economy has published positive data from the labor market.
Additional support received from the Australian Chinese data from the sector
services that were above market expectations. However, moderate
US dollar recovery, and low copper prices further limit
income couples. Further, today the focus will remain on macroeconomic
data from the US, but any sudden movement of the pair are unlikely today, as
Investors are preparing for the RBA decision on interest rates, which is scheduled
the next Asian session.

This morning
couple USD / JPY It traded with a small
bullish bias after a sharp decline, marked last Friday. Looks like,
bulls in the US dollar today are in fighting mood, restoring
a small portion of its losses after a strong sell-off on the buck on weak
Data on changes in the number of people employed in non-agricultural sector of the US, as
the likelihood that the Fed will raise its benchmark interest rate at the June meeting exceed
80%. In addition, the pair received further support during the Asian session
after positive Chinese data provoked a surge of interest
traders to the more profitable assets. However, further recovery remains
limited, because the markets are still discussing the recent terrorist act,
It happened in London, thereby keeping the-haven assets in the trend. Today
investors will focus their attention on the macroeconomic data from the US unit,
including the index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector from the ISM
and several minor reports, which will be able to set short-term trend
pair in the CA’s trading session.

Main events
of the day:

The index of business activity in the UK services sector
– 11.30 (GMT +3)

The index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector
From US ISM – 17.30 (GMT +3)

levels
Support and resistance for the major currency pairs:

EURUSD P.
1.1177 C 1.1335

P. S. USDJPY 109.43 112.19

GBPUSD P.
1.2820 C 1.2938

USDCHF P.
0.9553 C 0.9751

AUDUSD 0.7345 P.
S. 0.7493

NZDUSD P.
0.7028 C 0.7204

USDCAD P.
1.3434 C 1.3568

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Deutsche Bank euro is doomed to fall

Deutsche Bank: the euro is doomed to fall

Currency strategists at Deutsche Bank noted that further euro / dollar decline toward $ 1.25 (to achieve this mark is expected before the end of the year), there is plenty of reasons. The bank pay attention to the weakening of inflationary expectations and the sluggish growth of the euro area economy, the outlook is more clouded after the escalation of the situation in Ukraine. Russian retaliatory measures will have a negative impact on economic activity, the scale remains unclear, and the ECB has started to operate today to be proactive. the euro is not an unexpected decision of the central bank promises no good and only give impetus to the outflow of funds from fixed-income securities, which is already having a negative impact on the dynamics of the currency. In addition, it is noted, and the decline in demand for European action – that of growth in the euro has provided good support during the last twelve months.

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System of technical analysis

The system of technical analysis

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