Analyst from company ForexMart

Analyst from the company ForexMart (ForeksMart)

EUR / USD. 30.03. The pair may rebound to 1.0795.

The pair continued a downward trend, developed since the beginning of this week. The last trading day ended for the euro decline. Yesterday was officially launched the process of entering the UK from the EU. The euro fell after a cross, which has suffered because of statements by the Minister of Finance of Britain. In his speech, Philip Hammond expressed confidence that Brexit will not develop on the hard scenario. Currently the pair is trading below the level of 1.0758. Candles are disposed between MA with periods of 20, 50 and 100, 200. MACD tends to the negative region. RSI is near oversold zone. Forecast for today offers the pair to 1.0795. However, perhaps the development of alternative scenario – if the pair drops below level 1.0740, it will continue to fall to the level of 1.0628.

Analyst from company ForexMart

USD / JPY. 30.03. The pair is testing 111.00.

Currency pair USD / JPY has formed a “doji” directly at the level of 111.00. During yesterday’s trading the bulls were unable to strengthen the offensive, they need to rise above 111.50 to reverse the trend, but the forces have not yet enough. There is a good chance that the data on US GDP in the fourth quarter against the background of the right to the end of the month will help to strengthen the US currency. Now we see the uncertainty in the market and re-test the resistance level of 111.00 in the case of negative data waiting reduce to 110.00.

Analyst from company ForexMart

USD / RUB. 30.03. Ruble updated highs around 56.

Ruble continues to strengthen as a result of expensive oil. News about reduction of oil production in Libya, 20% gave Brent quotations confident “bull” pulse. Moreover, the weekly report from the US Department of Energy showed a lower than expected increase in the hydrocarbon reserves in the United States. These factors sent the price of oil at around $ 52.30 per barrel. Additional support for the Russian currency have asked the Ministry of Finance, which was taken OFZ at 45 billion rubles. In this regard, the dollar was able to update all the lows and fell to the level of 56.10 rubles.

Stochastic approaching oversold (23,90%), MACD indicator appreciated below zero when growing down bars. Bollinger bands exhibit negligible volatility expansion channel. We expect today the dollar falling even lower, to 55.80 rubles.

Analyst from company ForexMart

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Fxwirepro Xagusd rebounds from key resistance

Fxwirepro: Xag / usd rebounds from the key resistance at around $ 18.32, it is better to sell on rally

  • XAG / USD is currently trading near $ 18.20.
  • Intraday high was taken at around $ 18.32, and the minimum – at $ 18.19.
  • Intraday trend will continue bearish as long as the pair held a line of resistance around $ 18.32.
  • Full closure above $ 18.28privedet testing key resistance levels $ 18.32 / $ 18.40 / $ 18.48 / $ 18.72, respectively.
  • On the other hand, a daily close below the stamps $ 18.28 carry off parity down to key support areas $ 18.17 / $ 18.00 / $ 17.90 / $ 17.72 / $ 17.51 ​​/ $ 17.42 / $ 17.22 / $ 17.09 / $ 16.87 / $ 16.65, respectively.
  • Analysis of the daily trading schedule showed that the 20-day, 30-day and 55-day EMA is directed upwards, thus confirming the bullish market. Current downward movement – only a short-term correction of the trend.

It is recommended to get up in short positions for the XAG / USD at around $ 18.22, with a stop-loss $ 18.32 and a target level of $ 18.00.

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Forecast for coming week Summing up views of

The forecast for the coming week: Summing up the views of a number of analysts from leading banks and brokerage firms, as well as forecasts

EUR / USD. Calendar upcoming week any special economic and political events is not checked, and possibly more than 50% so analysts supported almost half oscillators D1, inclined to the lateral movement of the pair. The second large enough group of experts (40%) believes that the couple should a second test the height of 1.1000. And only 10% of the experts believe that the pair will go immediately to the south. However, their view is supported by graphical analysis and almost half of the oscillator on the H4, indicating an overbought the pair. Moreover, in the medium term it expects fall for 65% analysts. Near term support is 1.0850, medium-term goal – to return to the zone 1.0500-1.0680;

– With regard to the future of GBP / USD, there trend indicators on the D1 insist on continuing sluggish, upward trend, which began in the last decade of April. With this view agree 30% of the experts believe that the pair have to break through the 1.3000 bar. An alternative view is represented by 70% analysts trend indicators 60% and 90% oscillators H4. They all insist on selling this pair, the nearest support is 1.2755. If we move to the medium-term forecast, the number of bears supporters among analysts already exceeds 80%, and as a main objective stated level of 1.2100.

– USD / JPY. After an impressive leap up the couple in the first half of last week and rather strong pullback in the second, the indicators were diametrically opposed – on the D1 they actively vote for the purchase of a pair, and H4 – for its sale. Analysts also are unable to reach any consensus: a third of them for the pair falling, one-third – of its growth, and the remaining third – for a sideways trend. At the same time, about 60% of the experts believe that, with the support in the 111.60-111.79 area in the next few weeks, the pair still has to try to conquer the height of 115.50;

– and the last couple of our review – USD / CHF. As her schedule last week was similar to the chart USD / JPY, so similar and indicators predictions about its future: on the D1 – purchase, at H4 – sale. But as experts and graphical analysis, then, in their view, the pair must first will fall to 0.9940-0.9960 area, then fight back to the level of 0.9990, and then go back into the zone 1.0050-1.0100.

Roman Butko, NordFX

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Trump had verbal intervention

Trump had verbal intervention

On the eve of Wednesday night, the US dollar depreciated strongly to most world currencies. His course collapses President Donald Trump, who in an interview to CNN declared too high exchange rate of the national currency, which is hurting the US economy now, and will harm in the long run. In our opinion, now the trend in the decline of the dollar will continue throughout the second quarter. Although perhaps the May meeting of the Fed will be able to reverse this trend, if mega-regulator will be more rigid and resolute in monetary policy issue. Growth usually begins one week before the meeting, to be held May 3. So at least another week and a half dollar’s decline is very likely. Yes, in principle, if the President took the course of weakening, then surely it reaches the desired value it, because at such a position is very easy to intervene, just giving an interview. The only thing that confused, so it’s impermanence Trump. He has already reviewed several issues that are before the election, the voice in the same light, and after an opinion has changed. But in the case of “too expensive” dollar, while Trump remains true to himself. Previously, he also said as much, and that was the first signal to the fact that Trump policy may be a policy of “weak dollar”, in contrast to the “strong dollar” policy prior to it under Barack Obama. And Obama, too, at the very beginning of his reign, the states made a statement that during his leadership of the country, he will adhere to the policy of a “strong dollar.” So if Trump is committed to its goal of reducing the national currency, this trend may continue for a long time … On the eve of Wednesday evening, the US dollar depreciated strongly to most world currencies. His course collapses President Donald Trump, who in an interview to CNN declared too high exchange rate of the national currency, which is hurting the US economy now, and will harm in the long run. In our opinion, now the trend in the decline of the dollar will continue throughout the second quarter. Although perhaps the May meeting of the Fed will be able to reverse this trend, if mega-regulator will be more rigid and resolute in monetary policy issue. Growth usually begins one week before the meeting, to be held May 3. So at least another week and a half dollar’s decline is very likely. Yes, in principle, if the President took the course of weakening, then surely it reaches the desired value it, because at such a position is very easy to intervene, just giving an interview. The only thing that confused, so it’s impermanence Trump. He has already reviewed several issues that are before the election, the voice in the same light, and after an opinion has changed. But in the case of “too expensive” dollar, while Trump remains true to himself. Previously, he also said as much, and that was the first signal to the fact that Trump policy may be a policy of “weak dollar”, in contrast to the “strong dollar” policy prior to it under Barack Obama. And Obama, too, at the very beginning of his reign, the states made a statement that during his leadership of the country, he will adhere to the policy of a “strong dollar.” So if Trump is committed to its goal of reducing the national currency, this trend may continue for a long time …

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Bit analytics

bit analytics

GBPNZD

Despite that the trend is up, I think it’s time to correct because It rested in the price level of 1.89 formed a level that was breached yesterday, a good reduction.
I guess the price hike to a level of 1.81 or even 1.8

Bit analytics

My stats: http://mql5.com/1bf2n

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Turn

Turn

The indicator shows the market reversals (entry point).

  • Spreads can be isolated both in view of the trend, and without it.
  • You can select rigorous approach to determining the turns and less stringent.
  • You can select different periods for traffic prior to reversal.

Purchase – immediately after the appearance of the up, sales – immediately after the down arrow.

settings

  • Reversals are shown with regard to the trend or without trend – display turns with the trend or without it.
  • The degree of importance of u-turn – degree turns importance.
  • The period of motion prior to the reversal – the period of motion prior to reversal.
  • The arrow type – type shooter.

Recommended tools

  • The time period M30-W1
  • EURUSD, USDJPY, EURGBP, AUDNZD, EURCAD, EURJPY, EURAUD,
  • GBPAUD, GBPCAD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPNZD, NZDCAD,
  • NZDJPY, NZDCHF, stocks, oil, platinum, INDICES (H4)

Turn

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Fxwirepro 20 dma inhibits growth Nzdusd better

Fxwirepro: 20-dma inhibits growth Nzd / usd, better up to the breakdown of long above

  • After two days of growth, NZD / USD pulled back into negative territory.
  • Risk aversion caused by geopolitical tensions on the Korean Peninsula and the US bombing in Afghanistan, leading to a massive weakening of the dollar.
  • To determine the direction, the markets focused on US statistics, the publication of which, including retail sales and the CPI, will be in the New York session.
  • The pair showed strong break above key resistance in the 0.6960 area (trendline).
  • The bullish move braked 20-DMA resistance, have settled at around 0.7001.
  • Stochastic gives an upward trend, while the RSI remain neutral, keeping a level of 50.
  • Continued growth in the breakdown of possibly above 20-DMA followed by testing perspective 0.7075 (38.2% Fibo correction 0.7375 and 0.6890 to decrease).

support levels – 0.6975 (5-DMA), 0.6960 (trend line), 0.6920 (April 10 lows)

Resistance levels – 0.7001 (20-DMA 23.6% Fib), 0.7069 (upper band Bollinger), 0.7075 38.2% Fib)

PERIOD INDEX TREND OB / OS INDEX

1H bear neutral
4H moderately bearish neutral
1D moderately bullish neutral
1W neutral neutral

Recommended rise in the breakdown longs above 20-DMA in an area 0.7001, with stop-loss level of 0.6950 and 0.7075 take profit / 0.71 / 0.7130

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