Mysteries of forex market

Mysteries of the forex market

So long ago, I did not read interesting posts about the mysteries of the forex market. Well, probably not to expose people to the show really worthwhile ideas and thoughts. I’ll try to lay out and discuss-ideii them with you.

To begin with, I’m not going to show the indicators, because I believe that all the lights are a stupid idea, but no, there is a group that is not quite the usual indicators. I am very interested in the mysteries of the market, and if I have found what that relationship statiticheskuyu it should appear on any currency pair, on any timeframe and even stocks and indexes. If the relationship is not working somewhere, I am such a relationship is not interesting.

Many of these dependencies, you can dig on the Internet, I do not claim to exclusivity. But I would like to discuss-them who their uses, etc.

So while preparing the next piece of information to express their interest.

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Why you should not invest in emerging markets

Why you should not invest in emerging markets

Howard R. Gold, MarketWatch The columnist, provides a completely idyllic picture of good old developed markets and warns us from having to invest in developing the economy. Arguments are extremely unpretentious, and to all appearances, the man Well very seriously believes in his country. A true patriot – a rarity. I propose a paraphrase of his column – in defiance of the harsh warnings that I cited to you a few days ago, here comrade strongly believes in the inviolability of the mother-America.

pot of leprechaun

"Beginning
since the spring, emerging market stocks
(RR) showed a very tricky rally. Central
“Growing” share grew from 6.1%
the beginning of April, while the average
US companies added share
3.6% (according TrimTabsResearch Research).

investors
We responded to this in the same way as usual:
pursuing their own benefit. After
how the stock markets of developing
countries gain by selling at $ 11.6 billion
From January to March, “actually flow
I began to turn in the wrong direction. AT
Recently, investors bought
emerging markets “, says CEO
Director David TrimTabs Sanchi.

I have the feeling that they are like little children believe in a pot of leprechaun, which is where the rainbow ends. A pot of such does not exist.

Why you should not invest in emerging markets

Miracles do not exist

how
I wrote a lot, people invest
invest in emerging markets, more
all using a false premise
(Higher growth
It leads to a corresponding gain
the stock market). And as shown
practice, the stock market and its movements
are not directly related
to GDP growth.

Besides
of mutual funds and stocks in their PP
the vast majority belong to
BRICS countries, three of which are now
They are in the process of “bear” market.
Only India is still in
long-term trends in the step increase.

AND
American is a huge debt burden,
and the Fed’s decision to buy securities in large quantities
paper – all this has prompted many
investors to exchange the US
securities to shares of developing
markets, the principles of currency policy
which are considered to be “more than adequate”.
And it seems to me fundamentally wrong.

American
shares significantly outperformed the “developing”
in the last 2, 3 or even 5 years. This should not
be a surprise for you. And many more
Investors have seen during this
time that emerging markets
– not such a good idea, some
It seems at first.

About proper use of opportunities

slightly
before leading three this year
Experts on securities – Elroy
Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton of
London Business School – built
new index of long-term results
PP. They found that the markets of developed
countries win “developing” peers,
show from 1900 to 2013, the average growth in
8.3% (versus 7.7%). From this harmonious picture
knocked out only the 1950s that
given the 12.5% ​​growth in developing countries
compared with 10.8% in their colleagues developed.

shares
PP also possess enormous instability.
In the ten years of their standard
deviation is 23.9, which is 30% higher
than the developed equity markets and 60% more
unstable than the index of S P
500.

Recently
article was published in BlackRock,
which tells of an interesting
study. Top 10 were considered
emerging economies and
revealed that since 1992 their stock
markets on average use only
73% growth of the GDP of their respective countries. So, if
the economy grew, say, 8% a year, it
stock market returns to investors
only 5.8%.

Of course,
the correlation between growth and market
efficiency significantly “walks”
from country to country: from the optimistic
90% in India, Korea, South Africa and Indonesia
to disappointing 24% in Thailand and 29% in China
over the past 22 years old.

AT
Recently, the situation is even
tragic. 10 leading PP used
only accidents 18% growth in its GDP
countries over the past five years. Not surprising,
so that they are seriously off track. And
there is no equal to China. Celestial
I managed to drop their index MSCI
by 18.6%, while GDP grew by
1.600%. In other words, one dollar invested
in 1992 in the MSCI China Index,
in 2012 it was worth 87 cents. At the same
while boring old S P 500
during the same period tripled.

what
happened to the “Chinese miracle” that
so persistently advertised on Wall Street
in 2007?

unexpected findings

last
fall after studying 46 world markets
it was found that the average correlation
between long-term GDP growth and
long-term promotional profit was
NULL. Just think about it.

You
ask: what correlates train
with stock market gains? The answer is:
growth of earnings per share (EPS),
and nothing more. Any financial textbook
will tell you that the current stock price
It reflects dividends or cash,
she presumably will bring
tomorrow. And this estimate is more or less
reliable basis is only possible on
reliable and efficient markets, such
as the United States or possibly Europe.

A
how do investors need to make a profit
of the fastest growing economies
the world? Nothing special, we read
experts “transnational
Corporation developed market produce
a significant part of the economic
growth in PP systems. ” 15% of income and growth
multinationals are
namely emerging markets, supporting
thus their economy.

In short,
My advice: what to throw a lot of money
dangerous and unstable PP when
you can get the same income, putting
their money is much closer to home?

Howard R. Gold. Translation – Odillia.

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Next session of divination What awaits us on

The next session of divination. What awaits us on Wednesday?

Today publishes its accounts Boeing Company. This giant aircraft industry is not only growing steadily in price, but also pays dividends to its shareholders. The forward-looking expectations – the addition of $ 2.01 per share. Recently it became known that the United Arab Emirates entered into a deal with the company: sheikhs took 150 aircraft. It – a guarantee that the “Boeing” in the near future will be working in a very intense time, and from a lack of orders to suffer just will not.

Gold
It fell slightly during the past
day: the situation with Ukraine is on
place, investors are a little bolder and
again invested in riskier
assets. However, if the rhetoric
European, Russian and American
Leaders slip at least one new
impolite note – Precious Metals
again confidently rush up. how
the immediate aim for gold analysts
assume $ 1,320 per troy
ounce.

About
the same sentiment and the oil markets.
If Russian oil exports will
limited – for oil prices to rise. Till
nothing happens, and the downward
the trend continues. Oil bearing point
Brent crude is now
regarded as 106.80, and the nearest
goal – to 107,90 dollars per barrel.

On
All too tied to the currency markets
geopolitical situation. EUR / USD
creeping down, the European
economy weakens (business activity
in Germany it is clearly demonstrated).
The immediate aim of EUR / USD is determined
some pessimistic analysts
as the 1.4330 – and it is very unpleasant story
for the European currency.

GBP / USD waiting
news about monetary policy
Britain. MPC will release today the minutes
its recently held meeting,
and from it will become clearer as the lead
English control yourself and when
expected to raise interest rates.
But here there is a “god from the machine” in the form of
recently published a report on the net
public sector debt
Great Britain. He has reached 77% of GDP (this
a maximum of the last year), so
tightening of monetary policy and
raising rates leaves sideways in the first
all of Britain itself. All these factors
together, we predict that the pair
GBP / USD can go to the area
1.70.

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Forex Robot EA

Forex Robot EA

Forex Robot EA – strategy hedged nonuniform grid spacing which is based on the price range. It automatically hedge transaction in turns. Hedging is used to reduce the drawdown and profit maximization. Lot sizes are calculated automatically, so you can see lots of different sizes. Some are small, others are large. At some point Advisor closes all open transactions when the amount of own funds account will be more of the account balance, depending on the calculated profit.

Recommended trading conditions

  • Timeframe: M5.
  • Quotes: only the 3- and 5-Digit (2- and 4-digit allowed).
  • Leverage: up to 1: 200.
  • Initial capital: at least 500 USD for every cent accounts / at least 2000 USD on any netsentovom account.
  • Currency Pair: fully optimized on the USDJPY. Use only one pair and one graph. It is not recommended to use Advisor for more than 1 chart.
  • Account type: micro account or a cent account (or not allowed ECN-ECN).

settings

  • Target Equity: target amount of own funds. It is recommended to add 10% to the current account balance. Upon reaching the target size of funds Advisor Forex Robot will stop operating as long as you do not set a new target value. This feature is designed to give space to your adviser, and also allows you to remove some profit.
  • Conservative Setting: When set to TRUE Advisor will use a conservative strategy. Suitable for capital account less than 2000 USD. If your capital exceeds 2000 USD, you can set this parameter to FALSE and include aggressive trade.

Video

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How will financial Week

How will the financial Week?

Commodity
market, special attention should be paid to the
copper. The annual moving average of
this metal consumption in China
record grew. Rise in price of copper will
continue, especially if you remember,
China – the main consumer of copper
in the world. At the same time the world’s reserves of this
It was significantly reduced, reaching
minimum for the last 6 years.

The price of oil
restored: is a correction
rollback. Brent has not yet reached
mark of 103.45, but surely this
seeks. Markets are preparing to raise
demand for “black gold”, but so far it
not much impact on oil prices.

In the currency
market
today await the end of the symposium
in Jackson Hole, which will perform chapter
two of the largest global regulators:
Janet Yellen, and Mario Draghi. rather
likely, the Fed chief will speak quite
aggressively. USD / JPY will
continue to rise and the dollar will continue to
strengthen.

eurozone
continued fever: EUR / USD
I went down to the lows more than
year-old prescription, and speech
Yellen has every chance to leave a mark
1.32.

In Britain yesterday
published data on retail
Sales in Britain. These data are, frankly
speaking, are rather weak. No hurry for
move to tighten monetary
is not politics, today’s speech
Yellen will be the last test for
the pair GBP / USD, which is now
It is trading at about 1.66.

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Multi Symbol Price Divergence

Multi Symbol Price Divergence

Analysis of price co-movement of the many tools in one, and
the same time comfortable and more graphically when quotes
They are in the same chart window on a common price scale. For this purpose
multi-indicator analysis of price differences was developed Multi Symbol Price Divergence for use in the terminal MetaTrader 5.

In
external parameters indicator can specify to 5 symbols for analysis.
Total along with the current symbol characters may be analyzed 6
at the same time. The indicator will determine whether there is entered in the parameters
characters on the server and add it to the Market Overview window (Market Watch).
If you want fewer characters, it is enough to leave an empty value. If you want to include from time to time a different number of characters that can be
just add a space in front of the name, that would mean that
the program does not find this symbol on the server.

For the price of each character can be included inversion. That is, when the
inversion for the price symbol will
inverted. This can be useful when the list used for the
Analysis characters are present, for example, with pairs USD (U.S. dollar). The dollar may be a base currency and quoted. For example, in the currency pair EURUSD the dollar is the quote currency, and the currency pair USDCHF – base. In this case, if the current symbol in the chart EURUSD, then USDCHF You can enable inversion, thus obtaining a more convenient representation of price analysis. 

In addition to the parameters to select the characters and the inclusion of inversion there are
additional options for selecting data presentation modes. Below
you can see the complete list of the external parameters of indicator:

  • Draw Type – type of graphic
    construction. one of the three can be selected: LINES, BARS and CANDLES.
  • Start Price Divergence – This parameter specifies the data display mode, meaning
    which is that there is a point / points on
    which (s) prices of all characters will fit closely. This enables
    track difference in prices during the period until the next
    point. one of the five modes you can choose from the drop down list: Vertical Line (Vertical line) Month (month), Week (a week), Day (day), Hour (hour).
  • Two Colored Bars / Candles –  if for plotting the selected mode BARS or CANDLES,
    then enabling this option you can specify a two-color mode
    Data display. That is, the bars / candles are geared up to be
    displayed in a lighter color than the bars / candles, which are aimed
    down.
  • Symbol 02 – the second character. By default, the GBPUSD.
  • Inverse Symbol 02 – the inversion of the second character.
  • Symbol 03 – the third character. By default, the AUDUSD.
  • Inverse Symbol 03 – the inversion of the third character.
  • Symbol 04 – the fourth character. By default, the NZDUSD.
  • Inverse Symbol 04 – the inversion of the fourth character.
  • Symbol 05 – the fifth character. By default, the USDCAD.
  • Inverse Symbol 05 – the inversion of the fifth character.
  • Symbol 06 – six characters. By default, the USDCHF.
  • Inverse Symbol 06 – inversion of six characters.

If parameter Start Price Divergence is selected Vertical Line,
then the graph will be installed vertical green line
moving that you can specify the program, at which point the clamp prices
all characters.

A more detailed description can be found on my website: Multi-LED Multi Symbol Price Divergence.

Multi Symbol Price Divergence

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Daily Economic Digest from Forex ee

Daily Economic Digest from Forex.ee

Daily Digest of economic Forex.ee

Keep an eye on major economic news with us

Monday, June 5

Couple GBP/ USD It continues to consolidate in early European
Trading in the level 1.2870 area after today’s opening with a bearish gap. On
Pound remains today one of the most talked about currencies in the market, as
several important events continue to alarm investors. It seems that the British
the bulls were unable to hold on to their gains Friday, allowing the pair to move away from the area
1.2890-2900 as another terrorist attack hit the UK
Last weekend, thereby weakening the pound on the market. At the moment, the grouping
“Islamic State” has claimed responsibility for this terrorist
attack. Moreover, investors continue to be cautious in the run-up
elections in the United Kingdom, to which there are only 4 days. according to the latest
polls, the conservative position improved slightly in recent years, yet
Still they were not able to significantly increase the gap between its main opponents – Labor
Party. On the other hand, the market continues to discuss the positive data on
construction in the UK and the disappointing figures from the US labor market,
that supports the pair on Monday. Now the market’s attention remains
It focused on the index of business activity in the UK services sector in the
While the index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector of the US from the ISM
also provide investors with short-term trading opportunities in SA
trading session.

Couple EUR / USD He retreated from the highs of this
year, fixed at 1.1285 after weak data on the change in the number
engaged in non-agricultural sector of the US. On Friday, the pair met
substantial support from the bulls after a report on US employment in May reflected
performance weaker than market expectations, thus forcing the retreat of the dollar
across the board. Also, the dollar’s sharp retreat due to the fact that by
NFP release time investors
We have already priced in a positive result, since a change in the number of
US non-farm employment in the sector by ADP, presented last
Thursday, indicated the possibility of a significant increase in jobs in the market
US Department of Labor. However, despite the negative data from the US, the dollar managed to slightly
recover against its major counterparts in the Asian session, as
as the chances of the Fed’s tightening of monetary policy at the June meeting are
quite high. Looking ahead, euro area today will introduce only minor
reports at the time, the US economy will release the index of business activity in the non-manufacturing
sector of the ISM, which attract most of the attention of the market.

After opening with a
bearish gap at the beginning of this week a couple AUD / USD
It regained its upward trend, which started on Friday amid
disappointing data from the US labor market. The pair remains
near its 7-day highs, marked at the level of 0.7487 this morning after
how the Australian economy has published positive data from the labor market.
Additional support received from the Australian Chinese data from the sector
services that were above market expectations. However, moderate
US dollar recovery, and low copper prices further limit
income couples. Further, today the focus will remain on macroeconomic
data from the US, but any sudden movement of the pair are unlikely today, as
Investors are preparing for the RBA decision on interest rates, which is scheduled
the next Asian session.

This morning
couple USD / JPY It traded with a small
bullish bias after a sharp decline, marked last Friday. Looks like,
bulls in the US dollar today are in fighting mood, restoring
a small portion of its losses after a strong sell-off on the buck on weak
Data on changes in the number of people employed in non-agricultural sector of the US, as
the likelihood that the Fed will raise its benchmark interest rate at the June meeting exceed
80%. In addition, the pair received further support during the Asian session
after positive Chinese data provoked a surge of interest
traders to the more profitable assets. However, further recovery remains
limited, because the markets are still discussing the recent terrorist act,
It happened in London, thereby keeping the-haven assets in the trend. Today
investors will focus their attention on the macroeconomic data from the US unit,
including the index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector from the ISM
and several minor reports, which will be able to set short-term trend
pair in the CA’s trading session.

Main events
of the day:

The index of business activity in the UK services sector
– 11.30 (GMT +3)

The index of business activity in the non-manufacturing sector
From US ISM – 17.30 (GMT +3)

levels
Support and resistance for the major currency pairs:

EURUSD P.
1.1177 C 1.1335

P. S. USDJPY 109.43 112.19

GBPUSD P.
1.2820 C 1.2938

USDCHF P.
0.9553 C 0.9751

AUDUSD 0.7345 P.
S. 0.7493

NZDUSD P.
0.7028 C 0.7204

USDCAD P.
1.3434 C 1.3568

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