Tag: invest

US dollar fell on Monday center of attention

The US dollar fell on Monday, the center of attention – the US data and rising oil prices

The US dollar weakened on Monday as investors focused on the upcoming US data and the possible limitation of oil production by OPEC.

the WSJ dollar index, which reflects the value of the US currency against a basket of 16 currencies, fell 0.4% to 91.50.

US Dollar weakened against commodity currencies, falling to 0.7% against the Canadian dollar and 0.4% against the NOK.

Oil prices on Monday rose by 1.8%, while investors evaluate the possibility of reaching agreement on the OPEC production restrictions in the run-up to the meeting on Wednesday. The reduction of oil production is likely to support prices and growth rates will cause the oil-exporting countries, such as the Canadian dollar, Russian ruble and the Norwegian krone.

“All eyes will be on the OPEC meeting this week, investors want to understand how much can be cut oil production”, – said Brad Bechtel, a currency strategist at Jefferies Group.

Investors also will study US economic data this week, in particular the reports on GDP, industrial production and the labor market. Positive data will enhance market confidence in the appreciation of the US Federal Reserve interest rates in December.

The market has already accounted for 96% probability of rate hikes at the December meeting of the Federal Reserve, as shown by CME Group data.

Higher rates usually contribute to the growth of the dollar, making it more attractive to investors.

The euro / dollar was trading up 0.3% at 1.0608. ECB President Mario Draghi on Monday reiterated its call for the authorities to carry out reforms to improve economic growth in the euro area. According to Draghi, it would make monetary policy more effective.

Japanese yen higher against dollar 1%, recovering from the fall of 7% after the US presidential election.

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Euro has completed circle and is traded upward

The euro has completed the circle and is traded upward

EUR / USD pair rose above Friday’s closing level after the initial sell-off on the results of the referendum in Italy. During the day they fell by more than 1%, and at the time of writing is trading with an increase of 0.3%, on 1.07.

This means that investors expected that the Prime Minister Matteo Rkntsi lose the referendum.

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Rosneft updated historical highs

Rosneft updated historical highs

Moscow, December 8. / MFD-InfoCenter, MFD.RU/

shares "Rosneft" increased by 7% and updated historical maxima. This was reported by RIA gvooryu "news".

Chapter "Rosneft" on Wednesday he reported to President Vladimir Putin about the completion of the privatization of the 19.5% stake in Russia’s largest oil company, for 10.5 billion euros. Buyers and strategic investors – a consortium of Glencore and Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund.

"It is noteworthy that a large trading volume on them was 2 days ago, when the deal was not yet known. The news of the entry of foreign investors, especially Western, the capital of the leading Russian companies definitely positive. I believe that the gap on the securities of Rosneft, will definitely be closed, but not soon, not until next year"- said George Vashchenko, Head of the Operations Department in the Russian stock market IR "Freedom Finance".

the state will retain a controlling stake in the oil company.

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Analyst from company ForexMart

Analyst from the company ForexMart (ForeksMart)

Commodity prices forecast on January 23

While waiting for the inauguration of Donald Trump, investors fled to safe assets. Uncertainty plans 45 of the United States President is putting pressure on the Fed, which is forced to wait before taking action with respect to changes in rates. Reaching a minimum 1198.40 Gold has resumed its growth, ending the day near the level of 1207.26. Today, the pair is likely unfold down to support level 1200, 1196, 1192 and 1188.

Analyst from company ForexMart

USD / CAD. 23.01.

The pair corrected after a sharp rise

USD / CAD pair went into a correction after an impressive growth of more than 350 points. During the inauguration of Trump’s US dollar weakened against other major currencies, including against the Canadians. As a result, CAD may rise to 1.3240, but further it is also waiting for the weakening. Canada’s economy could be adversely affected after the US withdrawal from NAFTA, which announced a new US president. In the case of the Canadian dollar falling to 1.33 is recommended to start to buy it. Support levels may be considered at 1.3250 and 1.3190. Resistance levels: 1.3385 and 1.3410.

Analyst from company ForexMart

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Pound does not receive support from upbeat economic

Pound does not receive support from upbeat economic data

Investors ignore signs of strengthening UK economy, while political risks associated with the release of the country from the European Union, dominated in the forecasts about the pound.

The pound showed little reaction on Thursday immediately after the country’s service sector index exceeded the average forecast of economists in December, rising at the fastest pace in more than a year. Muted reaction underscored the contrast in comparison with the data after the June referendum on Brexit, when even with the estimates were enough reports to cause a greater reaction.

At that time, both appointed in March by Prime Minister Terezoy Mey deadline on a formal British exit from the EU launch fast approaching, better than expected performance of the economy have been ignored. At the same time there have been significant fluctuations in the currency, despite the relatively small changes in the way the country out of the EU. The pound has fallen by 17% after the decision to withdraw from the EU, and fell to $ 1.22 on Tuesday, which is the lowest level since October 31.

“Politics is superior to the economic data, – said Steven Barrow, currency strategist at Standard Bank in London. – We tend to think that the pound will go further when any restrictions associated with Brexit, and I believe that it will remain in that position for some time. Many are skeptical about the current strength of the economy. “

The pound rose to 0.09% for 30 minutes after the publication of the report on Thursday, which showed that business activity index for the services sector from Markit rose to 56.2 in December, well above the 54.7 projected by economists.

Now the pound sterling against the US dollar at $ 1.2332.

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Ruble is undervalued by 2 3% Institute of International

The ruble is undervalued by 2-3% – Institute of International Finance

The Russian ruble is currently undervalued by 2-3%. This assessment is contained in a new analytical report of the Institute of International Finance (The Institute of International Finance inc.), Released today in Washington.

At the same time the euro, according to the report, is undervalued by 10%.

As for the US dollar and the Chinese yuan, IMP, on the contrary, it considers these currencies significantly overvalued – about 10-15%. Although analysts point out that the dollar is weakening against the backdrop of today ‘flow of words and deeds on the part of the new US administration, which ultimately can have a huge impact on the global currency markets. ” They are reminiscent of the US withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TTP) plans to review the Agreement on the North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA), “Furore caused by the ban on immigration” in the United States from certain countries.

IMP – the world’s only global association of commercial and investment banks, funds, insurance companies and brokerage firms and other private financial institutions. Today, it brings together nearly 500 organizations from more than 70 countries. Headquartered IMP performs analytical, lobbying and representation functions, is located in Washington.

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ATR Volatility Alerts

ATR Volatility Alerts

ATR Volatility constructing the graph based on volatility and ATR indicator notifies the user when crossing the upper or lower threshold (purple and brown lines in the screenshots) set by the user. The graph displays circles when the volatility of ATR crosses the upper threshold or below the lower threshold up downwards.

This tool was developed specifically at the request of one of our customers. We hope you enjoy it.

You need a specially designed indicator? Write to us!

More Free and demo products from Synapse Investment Research Group Inc.

alerts

You can customize the notification email, message or sound an alert for the following events. Please note that for the use of e-mail notifications, you must configure SMTP recipient and in MetaTrader 4 settings.

  • ATR volatility crosses the set upper threshold (purple circles, to adjust your currency pairs)
  • ATR volatility crosses the lower threshold set (brown circles, to adjust your currency pairs)

Options

  • ATR Period (Default = 20): the number of bars to calculate the indicator
  • Upper ATR alerts threshold: upper threshold ATR (purple line)
  • Lower ATR alerts threshold: lower threshold ATR (brown curve)
  • Allow alerts ?: if false, the notification will not be used
  • Alert when volatility above upper threshold: if true, the indicator will notify the upper threshold intersection
  • Alert when volatility below lower threshold: if true, the indicator will be notified of the crossing of the lower threshold
  • Turn on alerts message – message
  • Turn on alerts sound – sound notification
  • Turn on alerts email – email alert

ATR Volatility Alerts

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China once again became largest holder of US

China once again became the largest holder of US government debt

China regained its status as the largest holder of US debt, overtaking Japan this indicator for the first time since October last year, according to a study of the American Ministry of Finance.

In June, China bought US Treasuries by $ 44.3 billion, while Japan sold these assets in the amount of $ 22.5 billion As a result, the volume of China’s portfolio of US debt rose to $ 1.15 trillion, the Japanese -. Fell to $ 1.09 trillion.

In third place is Ireland with $ 302.5 billion (+ $ 6.7 billion per month), followed by Brazil ($ 269.7 billion, unchanged), Cayman Islands ($ 254 billion, a decline of $ 12.1 billion) and Switzerland ( $ 244.5 billion, an increase of $ 5 billion).

The top 10 holders of US Treasuries also includes the United Kingdom, Luxembourg, Hong Kong and Taiwan.

Russia in June has reduced investments in US government bonds by $ 5.8 billion. Russia occupies 14th place with $ 101.9 billion among the largest holders of US Treasuries.

The total amount of non-residents’ investments in US Treasuries rose by $ 47.7 billion in June to $ 6 trillion 171 billion. Of this amount, the paper on the $ 3 trillion 995 billion owned by governments or central banks of foreign countries.

The net outflow of foreign investment from the United States shares in the last month amounted to $ 4.47 billion, the inflow of investments in corporate debt securities – $ 2.81 billion.

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Bitcoin strongly fall in price in near future

Bitcoin strongly fall in price in the near future

The specialized social networks for investors (TradingView.com) began to appear that can not be avoided strong fall cryptocurrency course soon. Moreover, the author insists that the fall would be so rapid that other than the collapse, it would be difficult to name.

It should be noted that it is not just the allegations on the basis of a simple speculative review. probabilistic forecasting changes in asset value based on the price movement patterns in similar circumstances in the past – a technical analysis was conducted.

The analysis took into account the rate of Bitcoins to major world currencies (the US, Australian and New Zealand dollar, Swiss franc). The result was typical of the financial “bubble” shape – a rising arc-shaped curve.

From the beginning, Bitcoin rate increased by 310% ($ 4093), and only from mid-July price increase was 200%. August 15 the rate reached a historic high – $ 4404.

Fall of Bitcoin would be akin Nasdaq market decline in 2000 and the Shanghai Composite in 2007. At least, all the “curves” say that’s about it. In 2000 investors for nearly 6 years uncontrollably invested in Internet companies, and in the 2007th – China has decided to tighten the conditions of capital inflows to its market after the gain in the previous years.

These findings are generally supported by authoritative analysts of investment bank Goldman Sachs. In any case, the claim in the GS, cryptocurrency more a short time will grow in value, it is possible to the threshold of $ 4827, and then rapidly “fall” up to $ 2221.

One clarification from GS – he calls it, or the collapse of the “bubble”, everything happens on the normal laws of financial growth and currency depreciation, in other words, it is quite possible after the fall and gradual appreciation.

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Member of LUKOIL Board of Directors Guglielmo

Member of the LUKOIL Board of Directors Guglielmo Moscato died at age 80 years

Member of the Board of Directors of “Lukoil”, CEO of Gas Mediterraneo Petrolio Guglielmo Moscato died at the age of 80, according to “Lukoil” message.

Moscato was a member of “Lukoil” the board of directors since 2011, as well as a part of the Strategy and Investment Committee.

Moscato previously held the positions of Chairman of Eni SpA Board of Directors, Chairman of the Board of Directors and CEO of Agip SpA, as well as Chairman of the Corporate University of company Eni.

As part of the Board of Directors of “Lukoil” 11 people. Head of the board of directors Valery Graifer, deputy chairman of the board of directors is the first executive vice-president of “Lukoil” Ravil Maganov.

Also, the board consists of the head of the company Vagit Alekperov, Rector of the Moscow State Law Academy Viktor Blazheev, President TTG Global LLC Toby Gati, former Minister of Foreign Affairs Igor Ivanov, First Executive Vice-President Ravil Maganov, a member of the EDC Board of Directors Richard Matzke, investkomiteta member the Board of the United Nations Joint staff pension Fund Ivan Pikte and vice president of “Lukoil” strategic development Leonid Fedun.

The election of a new Board is planned at the annual meeting in June.

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